The Public and the Climate

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Here’s the last year’s worth of answers to a Washington Post poll question about whether or not the government should regulate greenhouse gases even if it costs you an extra 25 bucks a month.  As you can see, in the most recent survey support for regulation jumped from 39% to 55%.

Over at NRO, Kathryn Jean Lopez takes this as evidence of trickery on the Post’s part.  In previous polls they asked how you’d feel if your electric bill went up $25, but in the latest poll they asked how you’d feel if your energy bill went up by $25.  “And so 55 percent wanted to feel good,” she says, “and could do so with the less direct question.”

I think I’d take a wee bit different lesson from this: polls like this are lousy indicators of true public opinion.  Asking about “energy costs” isn’t nefarious, it’s just more accurate since cap-and-trade affects all energy, not just electricity.  Still, the change in public opinion is surprisingly strong anyway, which mostly goes to show that there are a lot of people who simply don’t have very strong opinions on this topic.  And that in turn means there’s a pretty wide scope for public opinion to be influenced.  How are we doing on that?

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And the truth is, going into the final 4 days of the year we still needed to raise $TK to hit our $350,000 goal and start 2021 on track. It's nerve-wracking, wondering if the big spike we normally see at the end of December is going to be another thing that doesn't go as planned in 2020, or worse, if, now that Donald Trump is set to leave the White House (for longer than a taxpayer-funded golf trip to a property he owns), folks might be pulling back from fighting for the truth and a democracy and think the hard work is done.

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