Trump Approval Holding Steady In the One Place That Matters

Vox has a new survey out that bodes poorly for Democrats in next year’s midterm elections. It turns out that Donald Trump’s approval rating is down almost everywhere over the past few months—but that “almost” is a killer. The one place where Trump’s approval has held steady is the one place where Democrats actually need it to go down:

Nobody cares much about safe left and right districts, where nothing is likely to change. Meanwhile, Trump’s declining approval in districts that Democrats hold by a small margin is positive for Dems, but only slightly. Given the dynamics of midterm elections, where the out-of-power party usually does well, they were always likely to hold most of these districts.

What Democrats really want is to pick up some close districts currently held by Republicans. But that’s the one place where Trump is stubbornly holding on. If Democrats are hoping Trump will have some negative coattails that will help them next year, they aren’t seeing it yet.

Of course, we still have more than a year to go. There’s no telling what Trump could do over the next 15 months.

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DEMOCRACY DOES NOT EXIST...

without free and fair elections, a vigorous free press, and engaged citizens to reclaim power from those who abuse it.

In this election year unlike any other—against a backdrop of a pandemic, an economic crisis, racial reckoning, and so much daily crazy—Mother Jones' journalism is driven by one simple question: Will America will move closer to, or further from, justice and equity in the years to come?

If you're able to, please join us in this mission with a donation today. Our reporting right now is focused on voting rights and election security, corruption, disinformation, racial and gender equity, and the climate crisis. We can’t do it without the support of readers like you, and we need to give it everything we've got between now and November. Thank you.

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