Crystal ball: SIPA Asia; Collins: Bill Clark/Congressional Quarterly/Newscom via ZUMA

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I would like to make a prediction:

  • Donald Trump will nominate a Supreme Court justice who is very plainly a vote to overturn Roe v. Wade.
  • Susan Collins will announce that she needs to take a careful look at Trump’s choice.
  • She will spend an hour with the nominee, who will assure her of undying respect for stare decisis.
  • Collins will declare herself satisfied and vote to confirm.
  • A year from now the Supreme Court will accept a new abortion case. Six months later it will issue a 5-4 decision overturning Roe v. Wade.
  • Collins will announce that she’s disappointed.

This isn’t much of a prediction, since pretty much everyone seems to agree that this is what will happen. However, I want to make it public to help run up my score in the year-end predictions horserace.

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We've never been very good at being conservative.

And usually, that serves us well in doing the ambitious, hard-hitting journalism that you turn to Mother Jones for. But it also means we can't afford to come up short when it comes to scratching together the funds it takes to keep our team firing on all cylinders, and the truth is, we finished our budgeting cycle on June 30 about $100,000 short of our online goal.

This is no time to come up short. It's time to fight like hell, as our namesake would tell us to do, for a democracy where minority rule cannot impose an extreme agenda, where facts matter, and where accountability has a chance at the polls and in the press. If you value our reporting and you can right now, please help us dig out of the $100,000 hole we're starting our new budgeting cycle in with an always-needed and always-appreciated donation today.

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