Coronavirus Growth in Western Countries: April 14 Update

Here’s the coronavirus growth rate through April 14. This was a bit of a noisy day, but there was nothing that changed the trendlines very much except in Italy, where their decline seems to have stalled out temporarily:

The United States recorded 2,228 deaths, a new high. However, our trendline looks the same as yesterday, with a peak still likely in the middle of this week. Unless it doesn’t happen, of course.


How to read the charts: Let’s use France as an example. For them, Day 0 was March 5, when they surpassed one death per 10 million by recording their sixth death. They are currently at Day 40; total deaths are at 2,625x their initial level; and they have recorded a total of 235.0 deaths per million so far. As the chart shows, this is above where Italy was on their Day 40.

The raw data from Johns Hopkins is here.

Fact:

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