Will Saddam Help the GOP Get an Election Bump?

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Over at the Nation, the ever-prolific Tom Engelhardt speculates about what he thinks could be the GOP’s November Surprise: the November 5 sentencing of Saddam Hussein. Assuming that Saddam is guaranteed to get the death penalty, the White House could get itself a nice last-minute blip of “progress” to sell to voters. Clearly, the timing will work well for Bush & Co. Whether that’s a happy coincdence is subject to debate. But as law prof and blogger Scott Horton tells Engelhardt,

“When you look at polling figures,” Horton said,” there have been three significant spike points. One was the date on which Saddam was captured. The second was the purple fingers election. The third was Zarqawi being killed. Based on those three, it’s easy to project that they will get a mild bump out of this….This is not coincidence…. Nothing in Iraq that’s set up this far in advance is coincidental.”

But would this “mild bump” be enough to revive Republicans’ fortunes at the polls? It’s not like the Democrats won’t cheer Saddam’s descent to death row, so the Republicans would have to work fast to turn this into a partisan issue (not that they won’t try their darndest). And in the eyes of many Americans, Saddam’s hardly the WMD-toting bogeyman he was three years ago; he’s no Osama, no matter how much the “Saddam was behind 9/11” crowd wishes he was. With support for the war at an all-time low, it’s hard for me to see how this verdict will change many war-weary minds, much less energize a disheartened GOP base.

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And the truth is, going into the final 4 days of the year we still needed to raise $TK to hit our $350,000 goal and start 2021 on track. It's nerve-wracking, wondering if the big spike we normally see at the end of December is going to be another thing that doesn't go as planned in 2020, or worse, if, now that Donald Trump is set to leave the White House (for longer than a taxpayer-funded golf trip to a property he owns), folks might be pulling back from fighting for the truth and a democracy and think the hard work is done.

It's not, and if you can right now, please consider a year-end donation to support our team's fearless nonprofit journalism so we can close that big fundraising gap and finish the year strong, ready for all that's ahead in 2021. Whether you can give $5 or $500, it all matters in keeping us charging hard, and we'd be grateful.

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THE TRUTH IS...

what drives Mother Jones' team of 50-plus journalists. The truth is powerful, as evidenced by how hard those with something to hide, or profit to gain, seek to discredit it. The truth, stated boldly and reported meticulously, is what draws so many readers to Mother Jones.

And the truth is, going into the final 4 days of the year we still needed to raise $TK to hit our $350,000 goal and start 2021 on track. It's nerve-wracking, wondering if the big spike we normally see at the end of December is going to be another thing that doesn't go as planned in 2020, or worse, if, now that Donald Trump is set to leave the White House (for longer than a taxpayer-funded golf trip to a property he owns), folks might be pulling back from fighting for the truth and a democracy and think the hard work is done.

It's not, and if you can right now, please consider a year-end donation to support our team's fearless nonprofit journalism so we can close that big fundraising gap and finish the year strong, ready for all that's ahead in 2021. Whether you can give $5 or $500, it all matters in keeping us charging hard, and we'd be grateful.

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