New Poll: Obama Inspirational But Can’t Win

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A new Washington Post poll today has a few interesting nuggets that help answer that nagging question of the current presidential campaign: “What happened to Obama?”

Buried deep in the data is a question about which presidential candidate has the best chance of winning the White House next year. Hillary Clinton stomps on all the closest rivals, with 57 percent of the poll respondents favoring her. What’s interesting, though, is that the runner up, with 20 percent, is John Edwards. Perhaps this is to be expected. After all, he’s run before. But given his fundraising prowess and media prominence, it’s surprising to see that Obama comes in a distant third in this category, at 16 percent. By comparison, 37 percent of those polled thought Obama was the most inspirational candidate, compared with 41 percent for Clinton and only 14 percent for Edwards.

Obama’s poor showing in the polls on the electability question is probably fatal. People obviously love Obama, but don’t think he can win in ’08. The Post doesn’t ask why people believe that, but it’s hard to imagine that race isn’t a big factor. It’s not that Democrats won’t vote for an African-American, but that they don’t believe Republicans will.

One question the poll can’t answer: If Obama can’t win, why are so many people giving him money?

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TIME IS RUNNING OUT!

We have an ambitious $350,000 online fundraising goal this month and it's truly crunch time: About 15 percent of our yearly online giving usually comes in during the final week of the year, and in "No Cute Headlines or Manipulative BS," we explain why we simply can't afford to come up short right now.

The bottom line: Corporations and powerful people with deep pockets will never sustain the type of journalism Mother Jones exists to do. And advertising or profit-driven ownership groups will never make time-intensive, in-depth reporting viable.

That's why donations big and small make up 74 percent of our budget this year. There is no backup to keep us going, no alternate revenue source, no secret benefactor. If readers don’t donate, we won’t be here. It's that simple.

And if you can help us out with a donation right now, all online gifts will be matched thanks to an incredibly generous matching gift pledge.

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