Ohio Exit Polls – Clinton Gets the Gang Back Together

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Voting is staying open late in Ohio due to some nasty weather, but the networks have their exit polls out. Clinton is putting her old coalition (that Obama was meticulously dismantling) back together.

Whites were 75% of the vote — they went 61-38 for Clinton over Obama.

Blacks were 19% of the vote — they went 89-11 for Obama over Clinton.

Voters 44 and under went for Obama. Voters 45 and older went for Clinton.

Men were just 41% of the vote — they went 52-47 for Obama.

Women were 59% of the vote — they went 54-45 for Clinton.

Clinton won voters making under $50,000 a year. Obama just barely won voter making over $50,000 a year. Clinton’s 50/50 voters are back!

Self-identified Democrats were two-thirds of the vote. They went 53-46 for Clinton. Self-identified Republicans and independents were one-third of the vote. They went roughly 55-45 for Obama.

Clinton won economic voters (the majority) and health care voters (roughly 20%), while Obama won Iraq War voters (also roughly 20%).

I think it’s safe to say that Clinton has arrested Obama’s momentum in Ohio. Looking at these numbers, I would guess Clinton takes the state by a small margin. Clinton has her base back together: women, older voters, low-income voters, and core Democrats.

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And the truth is, going into the final 4 days of the year we still needed to raise $TK to hit our $350,000 goal and start 2021 on track. It's nerve-wracking, wondering if the big spike we normally see at the end of December is going to be another thing that doesn't go as planned in 2020, or worse, if, now that Donald Trump is set to leave the White House (for longer than a taxpayer-funded golf trip to a property he owns), folks might be pulling back from fighting for the truth and a democracy and think the hard work is done.

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